Predictions for 2019 general election

To accompany the other thread, what's everyone's predictions on the result?

A majority of 52 would mean the Tories winning 351 seats - not sure if that would exactly equal a landslide win - but that’s the option I’ve ticked as (at the moment) 350 looks like a lower estimate of what they’ll get.

It's not what I want to see, but I've gone for a small Conservative majority.

Ignoring party and voting preference, which of those would be the worst result for the UK?

I'd say hung Parliament - Labour largest party

TwisT wrote:Ignoring party and voting preference, which of those would be the worst result for the UK?

I'd say hung Parliament - Labour largest party

Why?

Have a feeling Tacticals will save some seats and help Lib Dems take a few others...Predict the SNP have a good night.

Predict Johnson will get a majority..

Lab 220...SNP 45..Lib Dems 22..PC 4...Green 1..NI 18 = 310

Con = 340.

Tory majority of 30

TwisT wrote:Ignoring party and voting preference, which of those would be the worst result for the UK?

I'd say hung Parliament - Labour largest party

That would be the greatest result for the Country...Corbyn going would be the price..

Corbyn wants to quit anyway and Starmer becomes PM in all likelihood.

TRUSSMAN66 wrote:Have a feeling Tacticals will save some seats and help Lib Dems take a few others...Predict the SNP have a good night.

Predict Johnson  will get a majority..

Lab 220...SNP 45..Lib Dems 22..PC 4...Green 1..NI 18 = 310

Con = 340.

Tory majority of 30

Yes I see it panning out something like this.

TRUSSMAN66 wrote:

TwisT wrote:Ignoring party and voting preference, which of those would be the worst result for the UK?

I'd say hung Parliament - Labour largest party

That would be the greatest result for the Country...Corbyn going would be the price..

Corbyn wants to quit anyway and Starmer becomes PM in all likelihood.

And to answer Prawns question of why......

1. I don't think Starmer would have a clear run of it
2. We have more fruitless negotiations with EU
3. Another referendum vote which I believe will be just as close as the last
4. SNP demanded indyref2 which causes more division
5. Any sort of coalition between Labour and X would soon fall away.....too much division between the likely parties.

Con lead is....6...7...7....9...10...13...15...Avg 9.5...

7 points is Hung territory...

Interesting poll in Portsmouth South one of the Tories main targets..

Lab 46 +5
Con 38 =
Lib.. 11 -6

Perhaps some are willing to vote tactically.....Notice Johnson is trying to use this Terrorist attack for political profit...Lying about the perpetrator's prior conviction date...Miraculously changed from Cameron's tenure to Brown's..

Lying...Mysogynistic...Racist....Bigot...

Corbyn can't win this GE now Farage is only playing half the seats..but we can get all 3 useless main Party leaders out...

Use your votes wisely.

I'd like to see the comments by Johnson regarding the conviction date?

His Daily Mail piece is disgusting

Anyone rethinking their predictions?

Damn - no votes for Labour...with all the socialists on here?  

I genuinely think the Brexit Party could have bagged a decent number of seats, (double figures at least), before Farage decided not to fight the Tories. Now it looks like they'll be lucky to get 2 or 3.

Really hoping for a healthy Conservative majority...they will need it, given the number of pro-Europeans in their ranks, in order to...ahem..."get Brexit done"...

More likely I think is a small majority, which could prove problematic. I think a lot will depend on how many voters are drawn by the appeal of Labour's "big bag of goodies" manifesto, versus those put off by the anti-Semitism debacle.

Is anyone taking Jo Swinson seriously?

The Brexit Party, in my view, would have got nowhere near double digit seats. They would have been squeezed mercilessly by the party machines of Lab/Con and penalised by FPTP, like UKIP in 2015 or the Alliance in 1983. The best they could have ever achieved would have been one or two seats and even that’s a stretch.

As for tonight, they have maybe as much as a 10-15% chance (if being generous) in Barnsley Central which represents their only hope of parliamentary representation (barring some freakish occurrence). In Hartlepool they have next to zero chance and, even if Tice got elected, he’s the sort of fellow who would defect to the Tories within 6 months anyway. Anywhere else is a lost cause (though I did vote for my lost cause BP candidate today; anything for a lost cause and maybe not a lost deposit).

Quick reminder for everyone that the Brexit Party and its support is full of disgusting individuals

https://www.channel4.com/news/racism-in-key-brexit-party-campaign

God imagine voting labour