OWGR May 2015, The Quest for US Open and Open Championship Exemption

First topic message reminder :

This weekends winners are Rory (Regains a Hammerlock on #1) in the Cadillac Matchplay, IJ Jang on the Japanese Tour  (about #220), Vaughn Groenwald on the Sunshine Tour (to about #425), Smylie Kaufman on the Web-com Tour (to about #328).

This is what the Top 100 should look like tomorrow.  The Open Championship deadline says Week 21, which I think is May 25th for the Top 50.  The US Open exemption deadline are June 8th and June 15th.

 

1	Rory	McIlroy	12.625
2	Jordan	Spieth	9.052
3	Henrik	Stenson	7.250
4	Bubba	Watson	7.154
5	Jim	Furyk	6.980
6	Justin	Rose	6.430
7	Jason	Day	6.375
8	Dustin	Johnson	6.050
9	Adam	Scott	5.684
10	Sergio	Garcia	5.582
11	Jimmy	Walker	5.299
12	J.B.	Holmes	5.044
13	Rickie	Fowler	4.667
14	Hideki	Matsuyama	4.486
15	Patrick	Reed	4.449
16	Matt	Kuchar	4.410
17	Martin	Kaymer	4.301
18	Phil	Mickelson	4.179
19	Billy	Horschel	3.845
20	Brooks	Koepka	3.578
21	Victor	Dubuisson	3.424
22	Kevin	Na	3.403
23	Lee	Westwood	3.333
24	Louis	Oosthuizen	3.309
25	Bill	Haas	3.297
26	Chris	Kirk	3.265
27	Zach	Johnson	3.260
28	Ryan	Palmer	3.249
29	Ian	Poulter	3.168
30	Hunter	Mahan	3.157
31	Ryan	Moore	3.117
32	Gary	Woodland	3.097
33	Jamie	Donaldson	3.077
34	Paul	Casey	3.023
35	Graeme	McDowell	2.896
36	Anirban	Lahiri	2.883
37	Keegan	Bradley	2.871
38	Danny	Willett	2.853
39	Charl	Schwartzel	2.824
40	Branden	Grace	2.776
41	Brandt	Snedeker	2.762
42	Bernd	Wiesberger	2.614
43	Matt	Every	2.585
44	Stephen	Gallacher	2.552
45	Joost	Luiten	2.536
46	Brendon	Todd	2.525
47	Thongchai	Jaidee	2.483
48	Webb	Simpson	2.480
49	Russell	Henley	2.454
50	Tommy	Fleetwood	2.383
***Open Champ Deadline May 25th
51	Shane	Lowry	2.341
52	Charley	Hoffman	2.324
53	Marc	Warren	2.273
54	John	Senden	2.263
55	Luke	Donald	2.221
56	Alexander	Levy	2.218
57	Marc	Leishman	2.198
58	Cameron	Tringale	2.191
59	Harris	English	2.142
60	Andy	Sullivan	2.125
***US Open Deadlines June 8th and 15th
61	Tim	Clark	2.124
62	Jason	Dufner	2.120
63	George	Coetzee	2.088
64	Daniel	Berger	2.073
65	Matt	Jones	2.060
66	Ben	Martin	2.012
67	Thomas	Bjorn	1.986
68	Mikko	Ilonen	1.979
69	Miguel A	Jimenez	1.935
70	Francesco	Molinari	1.927
71	Marcel	Siem	1.921
72	Kevin	Streelman	1.903
73	Richie	Ramsay	1.847
74	Graham	Delaet	1.816
75	Ross	Fisher	1.812
76	Russell	Knox	1.766
77	Kiradech	Aphibarnrat	1.745
78	Koumei	Oda	1.744
79	Brendon	de Jonge	1.739
80	Sangmoon	Bae	1.715
81	Steve	Stricker	1.703
82	Ernie	Els	1.699
83	Nick	Watney	1.683
84	Morgan	Hoffmann	1.678
85	Padraig	Harrington	1.671
86	Justin	Thomas	1.669
87	Hiroshi	Iwata	1.659
88	Shawn	Stefani	1.644
89	Emiliano	Grillo	1.619
90	Pablo	Larrazabal	1.603
91	Robert	Streb	1.594
92	Brendan	Steele	1.593
93	Scott	Piercy	1.578
94	Jonas	Blixt	1.567
95	Angel	Cabrera	1.555
96	James	Hahn	1.554
97	Kevin	Stadler	1.537
98	Romain	Wattel	1.519
99	Gary	Stal	1.518
100	Brian	Harman	1.514

inco,
Jason Dufner's 2013 PGA Championship win will be erased from his record but, remember, each win/point decrements (is that a word?) proportionately from weeks 14 thru 104 when it is expunged completely.

The key here is when Rory returns, but fifth place finishes for Spieth at both Bridgestone and PGA will close the gap significantly IF Rors has to sit them out.

Rory is losing a tournament in his divisor this week so the delta between Spieth will increase with next week's rankings.

Assuming Rory does not play either B-Stone or PGA, Jordan needs to win B-Stone to get the #1 ranking, or earn a total of 66 OWGR points in the B-Stone and PGA to get the #1 ranking.

A win in either tournament will get him the #1 ranking.  There are only a couple ways he can become #1 by not winning either tournament before the Playoffs.

Solo 2nd in B-Stone, Solo 5th (or better) in PGA
Solo 3rd in both the B-Stone and the PGA
Solo 17th or better in B-Stone and Solo 2nd in PGA

Assumes the B-Stone is OWGR Level 74.  (It was a level 76 with the #1 player in the field the last two years)

kwinigolfer wrote:The key here is when Rory returns, but fifth place finishes for Spieth at both Bridgestone and PGA will close the gap significantly IF Rors has to sit them out.

Two fifth places at BS and PGA would give Jordan 41.8 OWGR points.  Still about 25 pts from the #1 ranking.

If Jordan wants the #1 ranking before the end of the 2014-15 PGAT season, it won't be by the Lee Westwood backdoor method. He is going to have to play and play well

GPB wrote:
the Lee Westwood backdoor method.

You just got mac fired up...

Do we think Rory will return for the PGA?

pedro wrote:

GPB wrote:
the Lee Westwood backdoor method.

You just got mac fired up...

My double entendre has been exposed.

Ooops, there I go again.

sirbenson wrote:Do we think Rory will return for the PGA?

Highly unlikely I'd say.

McIlroy confirmed out of Bridgestone. No word on USPGA yet.

www.bbc.com/sport/live/33590073 update at 15:42

Does no word on the PGA mean he has no chance of teeing it up at whistling straits?

I doubt we will see him again until 2016.

No, it means he hasn't made a decision on the USPGA or publicised it yet

Marc Warren sitting on the 50th spot in the OWGR after his 4th place finish in the Match Play.  

If he wants to play B-Stone, he has dodge every bullet from Bowditch, Lingmerth, and Danny Lee.

Bowditch has to finish T4th to go ahead of him
Lingmerth has to finish T2nd (3 way)
Lee has to finish solo 2nd.