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Betting thread

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TopoftheChops
JDizzle
Hibbz
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dancingweeman
Lowlandbrit
Ent
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CFCNick
mystiroakey
compelling and rich
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Duty281
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Post by Good Golly I'm Olly Sat Aug 16, 2014 12:18 pm

First topic message reminder :

A place to discuss all of our bets, any tips and general money we place on footballing matters
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Post by Duty281 Thu Oct 02, 2014 4:57 pm

21/20 on Everton draw no bet with Ladbrokes. How sweet!

Was in a hurry so did not shop around, as it were.

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Post by Duty281 Fri Oct 03, 2014 2:25 pm

Two quid on a tenfold accumulator: Liverpool, Chelsea, Norwich, Charlton, Derby, Middlesbrough, Watford, Halifax, Bury, and Burton all to win.

Throw two quid in the air and hope to return with nine fifty pound notes!

Away from the speculative bets, Dundee United are superb odds to beat Kilmarnock tonight: you can get as good as 6/5 from Betfred.

Just for reference, United are top of the league, have beaten Kilmarnock in all of their last five games (stretching back to January last year), and have won three out of four games on their travels in the league thus far (losing only to Celtic).

It is weighty single bets that frighten bookmakers, so make sure you give them a hefty clout this evening by backing Dundee United.

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Post by Duty281 Fri Oct 03, 2014 9:08 pm

Oh dear, not my night!

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Post by mystiroakey Sat Oct 04, 2014 2:11 pm

Ok

palace win
stoke draw

double.


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Post by Good Golly I'm Olly Sat Oct 04, 2014 2:33 pm

Watford and Peterborough both above evens to win at home

Fancy that
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Post by CFCNick Sat Oct 04, 2014 2:41 pm

Home team 6 fold

Bayern, Leverkusen, Liverpool, Derby, Swansea, Bradford.

£5 returns £56.

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Post by CFCNick Sat Oct 04, 2014 2:46 pm

BTTS

Hull-Palace
Leicester-Burnley
Norwich-Rotherham
Wolves-Wigan
Fleetwood-Port Vale
Valencia-Atletico

£3 returns £83.

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Post by westisbest Sun Oct 05, 2014 2:13 pm

Did Swansea, Accrington, Luton & MK Dons.

£323 if Swansea had won.

Also did goals goals, all teams i did to score scored, except for Tranmere, if they had scored, would have won £93.

Closest i have been so far this season.

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Post by Duty281 Sun Oct 05, 2014 4:42 pm

A pound on:

Chelsea to win the Champions League this season
England to win the next Rugby Union World Cup
Phil Taylor to win the next World Championship of Darts
Judd Trump to win the next World Snooker Championship
Andy Murray to win Wimbledon 2015
England to win the Ashes 2015

*Shrugs Shoulders* Its more fun than a scratch card! And its a better rate of interest than an ISA!

I should win (read: probably will not) a shade over eight and a half thousand.

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Post by The Special Juan Sun Oct 05, 2014 7:42 pm

Only one of those will happen.... Cough.




I bet on Burnley not to score yesterday. Drat.
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Post by Duty281 Mon Oct 06, 2014 7:57 pm

Oh OK then, I have bet a more realistic twenty quid that Chelsea will win the Premier League (they already have, really!), the FA Cup (of which they have a great record in) and the Champions League (because Mourinho is a master).

Odds of 80/1 were delightful!

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Post by Duty281 Fri Oct 10, 2014 2:22 pm

Odds as good as 4/7 for England U21s to beat Croatia U21s at home tonight.

Those are absolutely wonderful odds; I were expecting something in the region of 1/3.

I just hope this Friday is my night, unlike last week!

It is good for a lump on!

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Post by mystiroakey Fri Oct 10, 2014 4:18 pm

not sure if thats a lump on bet duty.

go small on scotland and poland v germany draw double.

Thats my pick of the day

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Post by mystiroakey Fri Oct 10, 2014 4:19 pm

Duty281 wrote:Oh OK then, I have bet a more realistic twenty quid that Chelsea will win the Premier League (they already have, really!), the FA Cup (of which they have a great record in) and the Champions League (because Mourinho is a master).

Odds of 80/1 were delightful!

thats not a bad bet

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Post by westisbest Fri Oct 10, 2014 5:42 pm

Cant see them winning all 3.

Down the bookies tomorrow morning.

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Post by compelling and rich Fri Oct 10, 2014 5:49 pm

cant see the treble, if there running into latter stages of champions league the fa cup will take a back burner. think people forget but when we won the treble it was a weakened team that beat arsenal in the semi final. its just that we had a great squad.

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Post by mystiroakey Fri Oct 10, 2014 6:12 pm

Its not about what you see its about the odds.

You could potentially cash out at a much lower odd at a later stage.

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Post by compelling and rich Fri Oct 10, 2014 6:30 pm

i doubt they start cashing out till they have won at least one of them, of which the only chance is if they walk away with the prem. i can see them winning it but not by any record margins i don't think. think city will be with them for a while

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Post by Duty281 Fri Oct 10, 2014 6:33 pm

mystiroakey wrote:not sure if thats a lump on bet duty.

go small on scotland and poland v germany draw double.

Thats my pick of the day

Ah might be right: England dominant but one down at half-time.

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Post by mystiroakey Fri Oct 10, 2014 6:39 pm

For me its all about the value of odds.

I am assuming Chelsea are evens and 6/1 for the pl and cl respectively. That's 12/1 on the double. I think 7/1 on the fa lumped in is good value.

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Post by mystiroakey Fri Oct 10, 2014 6:41 pm

Just checked the odds.Chelsea are 1/2 for the pl. And yep 6/1 on the cl

80/1 is brilliant value.

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Post by Hibbz Fri Oct 10, 2014 7:02 pm

mystiroakey wrote:For me its all about the value of odds.

I am assuming Chelsea are evens and 6/1 for the pl and cl respectively. That's 12/1 on the double. I think 7/1 on the fa lumped in is good value.

Actually mysti that would be 13/1 as a double. Man I've missed having the time to correct your errors dude.

I agree that in pure mathematics terms 80/1 represents reasonable value but as compelling points out, the better they do in the champions league the less likely they are to win the FA Cup.

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Post by compelling and rich Fri Oct 10, 2014 7:08 pm

mystiroakey wrote:For me its all about the value of odds.

I am assuming Chelsea are evens and 6/1 for the pl and cl respectively. That's 12/1 on the double. I think 7/1 on the fa lumped in is good value.

i had chelsea at the start of the season at 5/1- thats good odds for you

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Post by compelling and rich Fri Oct 10, 2014 7:10 pm

i had a lucky 15 each way at the start of the season of chelsea to win the prem, derby to win the champ, real madrid to win the champions league and unfortunately sheff united to win league 1.

chelsea look good, derby and real lots to do but should be in the mix and sheffield united will need a surge.

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Post by mystiroakey Fri Oct 10, 2014 7:29 pm

Hibbz wrote:
mystiroakey wrote:For me its all about the value of odds.

I am assuming Chelsea are evens and 6/1 for the pl and cl respectively. That's 12/1 on the double. I think 7/1 on the fa lumped in is good value.

Actually mysti that would be 13/1 as a double. Man I've missed having the time to correct your errors dude.

I agree that in pure mathematics terms 80/1 represents reasonable value but as compelling points out, the better they do in the champions league the less likely they are to win the FA Cup.

The second time you mean... I was actually going to update my post before your correction . but I couldn't be botherd.anyway as said stop thinking about what you think will happen. Only think value. It represents great value.

6/1 plus 1/2 plus I suppose  another 6/1 on the fa cup. As a multiple would represent 62/1

So anyone getting 80/1 is getting good value.
And every single cup game they win there odds will fall.

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Post by mystiroakey Fri Oct 10, 2014 7:34 pm

compelling and rich wrote:
mystiroakey wrote:For me its all about the value of odds.

I am assuming Chelsea are evens and 6/1 for the pl and cl respectively. That's 12/1 on the double. I think 7/1 on the fa lumped in is good value.

i had chelsea at the start of the season at 5/1- thats good odds for you

Even back then that's good value.

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Post by mystiroakey Fri Oct 10, 2014 7:40 pm

Hibbz BTW feel free to correct my spelling on the last post..


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Post by Hibbz Fri Oct 10, 2014 7:47 pm

mystiroakey wrote:
Hibbz wrote:
mystiroakey wrote:For me its all about the value of odds.

I am assuming Chelsea are evens and 6/1 for the pl and cl respectively. That's 12/1 on the double. I think 7/1 on the fa lumped in is good value.

Actually mysti that would be 13/1 as a double. Man I've missed having the time to correct your errors dude.

I agree that in pure mathematics terms 80/1 represents reasonable value but as compelling points out, the better they do in the champions league the less likely they are to win the FA Cup.

The second time you mean... I was actually going to update my post before your correction . but I couldn't be botherd.anyway as said stop thinking about what you think will happen. Only think value. It represents great value.

6/1 plus 1/2 plus I suppose  another 6/1 on the fa cup. As a multiple would represent 62/1

So anyone getting 80/1 is getting good value.
And every single cup game they win there odds will fall.

Are you about to correct this one too? As a multiple it's 73.5/1. Can I be your bookmaker please?

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Post by mystiroakey Fri Oct 10, 2014 7:53 pm

Redo your maths.

You are wrong.

Stake of 10 pounds

Return 70 at 6/1

70 times 1.5 = 105

105 * 6 = 630

= 62/1


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Post by mystiroakey Fri Oct 10, 2014 7:54 pm

And yes you can be my bookmaker Wink

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Post by mystiroakey Fri Oct 10, 2014 8:03 pm

actually no you cant - you are right-

i forget to re add the other stake..(10.5)

bang on again- you wont get me again though- betting pro

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Post by Hibbz Fri Oct 10, 2014 8:04 pm

mystiroakey wrote:Redo your maths.

You are wrong.

Stake of 10 pounds

Return 70 at 6/1

70 times 1.5 = 105

105 * 6 = 630

= 62/1


£105 @ 6/1 returns £735 so 73.5/1.

Mug punter x

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Post by mystiroakey Fri Oct 10, 2014 8:05 pm

actually its 72.5/1

so nah nah

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Post by Hibbz Fri Oct 10, 2014 8:07 pm

True dat.

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Post by mystiroakey Fri Oct 10, 2014 8:10 pm

Well I won a minor battle.


Duty did you lump on the under 21 game.

I didn't realise the strengh of our team. They came back well second half.

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Post by Duty281 Fri Oct 10, 2014 8:18 pm

I lumped seventy quid.

Which meant I were a bit nervous for the penalty! Despite Owen Hargreaves' observations (which included him saying Croatia were controlling possession when England had 70% of it!), I thought Croatia created bugger all for the entirety of the ninety minutes.

England should have won by more.

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Post by mystiroakey Fri Oct 10, 2014 8:22 pm

I only saw the second half. And yeah we bossed the game(that half anyway) Good to see so many pl regulars in there.

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Post by westisbest Sat Oct 11, 2014 4:25 pm

Wooooooo.

My first win of the season.
£83.33

All teams to score.

colchester v fleetwood
northampton v burton
wimbledon v bury
morecambe v wycombe
shrewsbury v cheltenham.

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Post by CFCNick Sat Oct 11, 2014 7:28 pm

Wrexham not scoring let me down for £77

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Post by Duty281 Mon Oct 13, 2014 5:54 pm

Wales or draw/Israel win/Norway or draw/Holland or draw/Italy win/Turkey or draw/Croatia or draw.

All lumped into an accumulator that, upon victory, will double your money.

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Post by Duty281 Mon Oct 13, 2014 9:32 pm

I love the double chance market almost as much as I love looking in the mirror, but it appears that on this occasion the Dutch have let me down.

Damn and blast.

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Post by mystiroakey Mon Oct 13, 2014 9:49 pm

1 pound down today

The draw with Belgium , win on Norway and wales got my money back. Holland and turkey let me down.

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Post by Duty281 Tue Oct 14, 2014 11:40 am

Let us try again, then:

Portugal or draw/Georgia win/Germany win/Greece or draw/Poland or draw/Serbia or draw/Switzerland to be leading at HT and win at FT.
 
That will (hopefully!) treble my money.

Oh and went for a speculative Yankee on the HT/FT market as well:

Germany/Germany
Georgia/Georgia
Draw/Greece
Draw/Poland

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Post by mystiroakey Tue Oct 14, 2014 3:02 pm

Just a simple bet for me at under evens.

Hungary and France to win at 1.87

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Post by Duty281 Tue Oct 14, 2014 4:19 pm

11/10 on a draw for the U21s game on the 'England win no bet' market.

Pleasing odds, as I can only see a narrow England win or a draw happening in this second leg game.

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Post by mystiroakey Tue Oct 14, 2014 4:42 pm

its not bad tbh.

I would go straight on the draw though- Is that game on tonight?


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Post by Duty281 Tue Oct 14, 2014 4:54 pm

Yeah kicks off in about five minutes.

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Post by Duty281 Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:00 pm

ATTENTION!

I do believe Ladbrokes have made a slight error with their odds. They are offering a four-fold accumulator of Granada, PSG, Rotherham, and Aberdeen to win at odds of 175/1 in their daily bet bundles.

For reference, the odds on each of those happening individually are: 5/4, 4/11, 6/5, and 7/5 respectively.

Either it is a mistake or a most generous offer. Worth a couple of quid either way.

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Post by mystiroakey Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:09 pm

huge mistake- thats only about 44/1









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Post by westisbest Fri Oct 17, 2014 3:19 pm

Off down coral after work.

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